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Daily Digest: When it Comes to Election Prediction, Are the Kids All Right?

BY Nancy Scola | Tuesday, October 21 2008

The Web on the Candidates

  • The Children are Our Future. And Election Oracles: If you were born before, oh, 1975, you might not be familiar with Channel One. Born after, and you probably know it's an in-class news and advertising network beamed out to millions of American school kids. For the fourth time, the network is holding a mock online election that asks students for their presidential picks, a project called One Vote. Results will be released next Wednesday, October 29th. Why might you particularly care? Well, because, according to the network, the contest has correctly predicted the presidential winner of the three closely-contested elections of 1992, 2000, and 2004. If you can't wait until next week, check out the results of Nickelodeon's "Kids Pick the President" poll. With more than two million votes counted, the winner is Obama -- and they've been right four out of the last five races. #

  • "Deceptive Practices 2.0": The Internet might just be used for dirty election tricks this cycle, from denial-of-service attacks on candidates' websites to spoof emails purported to be from election officials. That's according to a hefty new report (pdf) from a coalition that includes the Electronic Privacy Information Center, the Century Foundation, the Lawyers Committee for Civil Rights Under Law and Common Cause. Wired's Sarah Lai Stirland has the details. If you happen to spot online election deception, go ahead and report it to Common Cause. And remember, be ever vigilant in double-checking checking URLS and email headers, and help your friends do the same! #

The Candidates on the Web

  • Average Joe's 15 Days of Fame?: The McCain campaign has launched an "I'm Joe the Plumber" video contest, the winner of which will, the campaign says, be used in a TV ad. "Be creative!," team McCain urges, asking participants to answer the question "how would Barack Obama's plan to "spread the wealth around" hurt you?" But the videos aren't displayed on YouTube or voted on on JohnMcCain.com -- they're sent directly into the campaign, which might cut down on the chance that wisenheimers will create video spoofs. Though that's not stopping some folks. Jack & Jill Politics' Baratunde Thurston, whose video submission is the first Google search result for "Joe the Plumber" video contest, cleverly uses the contest as a chance to redirect people to The Obama campaign's Tax Calculator. #

  • Searching for Obama's Small Donors: Obama's $150 million September haul might be sparking much interest and analysis, but the letter of campaign finance law means that the campaign isn't compelled by any legal authority to disclose the many contributions falling under the $200 mark. As Thomas Pierce notes on NPR's Vox Politics blog, the Republican National Committee is calling on Obama to go beyond the law and disclose small donors. For it's part, the RNC says its hard at work on a database of small donors to the GOP that will be updated within a day that the dollars are chipped into the party's kitty. #

  • Counting Chickens CTOs: BusinessWeek's Tom Lowry stops to consider who might fill the oft-discussed role of Chief Technology Officer in an Obama administration, dropping names like Vint Cerf (Google), Steve Ballmer (Microsoft), and Jeff Bezos (Amazon). Tom also explores who might ascend to the top of the FCC chair, which, if old-school Washington isn't completely upended, will likely be a more powerful post in the near term. And in a blog post, Robert Scoble points to a video conversation with Stanford's Larry Lessig on what a cabinet-level CTO job would entail. Larry, you'll note, says he's not the right person for the post, but stops well short of a Shermanesque statement. (Be sure to check out the comments on the post, for a healthy discussion about the chief technologist role and candidates.) Perhaps another contender? Google CEO Eric Schmidt, who recently hopped on the campaign trail on Obama's behalf. #

  • A Look Behind the Blue Curtain: Blue State Digital's CTO and co-founder Jascha Franklin-Hodge recently sat down for a video interview with O'Reilly Radar's Joshua-Michele Ross. If you can get past the fact that the interview was recorded in the back of a car bumping down a New York City street, it offers up some insight into how the Obama web world works. It provides a solid overall look at how BSD does its thing. Other discussion topic highlights include the idea Obama's presidential run is actually an amalgam of "little campaigns" and the possibility of porting the Obama '08 organizing model to the heady task of governing. #

TechCongress and Beyond

  • Shining Some Sunlight on the Senate Side: Inspired by the successes of its Open House Project, the Sunlight Foundation has just launched an Open Senate Project to focus attention on the other side of Capitol Hill. Now, when it comes to tech and transparency, the Senate is a bit more of the moment and, how should we say, functional than the gang of 435 on the other side of the Hill. That said, there's still work to be done. Like OHP, OSP is a bipartisan effort, headed up by Sunlight's John Wonderlich, GovTrack's Josh Tauberer, and the Next Right's Jon Henke. If you want to help, who might start by digging into the standing rules of the Senate that OSP has posted. (A note for my geek homies: They're making use of the rather neat Issu document display tool, which might be of interest if you or your organization works with online docs.) #

In Case You Missed It...

Alan Rosenblatt was surprised recently to find that he himself was the presidential favorite of voters in AARP's latest video. You might have seen other "you're the candidate" stuff before, but the AARP's is particularly well done and the message of grassroots change is reinforced by the neat special effects. But umm, seriously -- how'd they get that little boy to scrawl my name in crayon?

Micah Sifry takes some pokes at Google's Eric Schmidt's argument, amplified by Arianna Huffington, that thanks to the Internet we're witnessing "the end of Rovian politics." While saying that we're indeed seeing "a networked public sphere that continuously scours the world for interesting information and collectively bubbles the most important stuff to greater view," Micah questions whether the Internet yet deserves its reputation as slayer of all things untrue.

Also from Micah -- a gift of "Rebooting America" to a disenchanted hedge fund manager who now says "the system is clearly broken."

And Nancy Scola has an update on the Twitter vote report project which includes a rundown of the remarkable collection of partner organizations now assembled and a look at what some ingenious developers are whipping up.

News Briefs

RSS Feed yesterday >

This Isn't What Political Air Time Usually Means

MoveOn.org is asking supporters for $150,000 in donations to fly a plane above high-dollar fundraisers for Mitt Romney with "a message that reminds voters how he represents his corporate and 1% donors." MoveOn previously hired a plane to fly over Romney's Liberty University graduation speech with the message "GOP = HIGHER SCHOOL DEBT." GO

There's a New $200 Million Fund for Super-High-Speed Broadband Projects

An initiative to build and test gigabit-speed broadband networks is set to fund up to six next-generation Internet access projects across the country, fueled by a new $200 million broadband development funding program, Gigabit Squared and Gig.U announced this morning. GO

New Rice University Paper Chronicles Impact of the Internet On U.S. Foreign Policy

We all know that the Internet has transformed the way that the United States conducts diplomacy, and the way that it views national security, but where should we look to find evidence of this? This is the wide-ranging subject matter of a new paper published on Tuesday by Rice University's Baker Institute for Public Policy. The paper provides a round-up of some of the major turns of events between 2005 and 2011 in the realms of Internet governance, the development of online public diplomacy at the State Department, the evolution of the Internet-fueled Arab Spring, and the establishment of the shadowy U.S. Cyber Command in Fort Meade, Maryland, among other things. GO

Messin' with Lamar Smith, Revisited

Remember that grassroots fundraising campaign to put a "Don't Mess with the Internet" billboard in the home district of Rep. Lamar Smith, Republican of Texas and sponsor of the controversial Stop Online Piracy Act? All of the money required came in, and Fight for the Future, the advocacy group opposing more stringent copyright protections online, writes that the billboard went up. GO

Republican National Convention Organizers Sever Ties With Becki Donatelli's Campaign Solutions

After eight years producing online content for the Republican National Convention, GOP web consultant Becki Donatelli's Campaign Solutions is off of the project. "Campaign Solutions was retained to help develop our convention website and digital strategy, but they are no longer involved in convention planning," James Davis, the convention's communications director, told techPresident Tuesday. It's unclear what precipitated the of the relationship between the convention organizers and Campaign Solutions, which has been producing the online component of the event since 2004. But Donatelli's name surfaced in a controversial anti-Obama ad pitch sent to a Super PAC backed by TD Ameritrade founder Joe Ricketts, which appeared in its entirety in the Times last week. Ricketts has since disavowed the proposal and Donatelli has denied any involvement. GO

PD+ This Thurs 1pm: Thriving Online With Howard Rheingold

I'm really looking forward to talking with author Howard Rheingold this Thursday on the next PD+ teleconference. His new book, Net Smart, is a concise and thoughtful guide to understanding and making the most of the hyper-networked, always-on, firehose of information and distraction that is the contemporary experience of anyone who uses ... GO

City of Joplin, Mo. Launches New Online Center Ahead of Tornado's Anniversary

The city of Joplin, Missouri launched its new web site over the week-end ahead of the May 22 anniversary of the massive tornado that devastated the city and killed 161 people. The new site enables Joplin citizens to sign up for emergency alerts via text message, e-mail and RSS. In addition to those alerts, individuals can also sign up for ... GO

In Virginia, City Council Debates to Include Questions Posed Online

The Alexandria Democratic Party in Alexandria, Virginia has partnered with online civic engagement platform ACTion Alexandria to include questions solicited in an online forum in the final Democratic primary debate for a City Council election there on June 4, ahead of the June 12 election, according to a statement released by the group. ACTion Alexandria hopes to work with both parties during the general election.

Participants in the project can add questions to the forum, or vote on questions that have already been posed, although each user is only given three votes to distribute. Users are also encouraged to use their real names. Questions submitted so far hit on topics ranging from broadband access to a ban on food trucks in the city.

GO

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