Personal Democracy Plus Our premium content network. LEARN MORE You are not logged in. LOG IN NOW >

One Person, One Vote? Here's How Many Voters Each "Representative" Really Represents

BY Micah L. Sifry | Wednesday, January 9 2013

If Members of the House of Representatives were ranked by how many raw votes they got from people in their district last November, the top 14 would all be Democrats. The number one vote-getter in 2012 was Pennsylvania's Chaka Fattah, who won re-election with a whopping 318,176 votes--nearly ten times his challenger's total. Current apportionment rules hold that every Member of the House is supposed to represent roughly 700,000 constituents, as of the 2010 census, so Fattah's vote amounted to 45.4% of that total.

That number, which we might call the "Representative Quotient" or RQ for short, varies widely across the people's house. Twenty-two Democrats, including Fattah, earned an RQ of 35% or higher in 2012. Only three Republicans got a similar score by getting more than 245,000 votes, including, interestingly enough, House Speaker John Boehner, who got 246,378 votes even though he was running without a major-party opponent. (I'm grateful to Dave Wasserman, the U.S. House editor of the Cook Political Report and @redistrict on Twitter, for posting his 2012 U.S. House Popular Vote Tracker spreadsheet, from which this data is drawn.)

Nine of the ten at the bottom of the RQ list would also be Democrats. That is, not counting the two returning Members of Congress who were re-elected with exactly zero votes each (Democrat Federica Wilson and Republican Dennis Ross). Yes, you read that correctly: there are two Members who made it back to Congress without the validation of a single voter. We can thank Florida's crazy electoral laws for that result--if a candidate doesn't have an opponent, the state doesn't bother printing their name on the general election ballots. (One out of four state legislative candidates in Florida also had no opposition, meaning no one voted for them either.)

The thirteen laggards on the list, eleven Dems and two Reps, get RQ scores of 15 or less because they got re-elected with fewer than 105,000 votes. The average Member got about 181,000 votes, with only a tiny variation between Dems and Reps overall.

It's one of the least-remarked oddities of America's political system that wide local variations in voter turnout produce a Congress where some House members are, arguably, more than two-and-a-half-times as popular, in the only terms that ought to count, than their peers. For example, Jim McDermott, the veteran liberal from Washington state, has an RQ store of 42.6%. That's 15 points higher than his opposite number Kevin Brady of Texas, who chairs the Ways and Means subcommittee on trade where McDermott is the ranking minority member. Jeb Hensarling, the chair of the powerful Banking Committee, has an RQ of 19.1, compared to the 28.6 of its ranking minority member, Maxine Waters.

If votes in Congress were scored based on how many voters each Member of Congress had behind them, the political game might look very different. But for all the chatter about how many Facebook likes or Twitter followers politicians have, I've never seen a news organization or website pay any attention to how many voters each Member has.

Power in the House is shaped first by whether you are in the majority party, and then a combination of seniority and fundraising prowess determines how high each Member gets on the greasy pole. Getting a big vote from one's constituents isn't a metric that matters on the Hill.

Twelve years ago, I interviewed Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. and Frank Watkins, his chief of staff, for an article for the American Prospect on voter turnout called "Finding the Lost Voters." Jackson told me that he made a deliberate effort to get as many votes as he could, even though he represented a safe Democratic district in Chicago, because it increased his clout up and down the ballot in state politics. Towards that goal he would always make efforts to register young voters by speaking at high school graduations and bringing voter registration forms to local college registration sessions. But Jackson was a rare exception. "I've never had a Member brag to me about their ability to pull out a large vote," says longtime Congress watcher Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute.

What then explains the wide disparity in the hard number of votes that House members get? "Turnout depends on the demographics of a district," says Gary Jacobson of the University of San Diego, the author of many definitive books on Congressional politics. "Districts with more minorities, lower education levels, and more foreign-born residents all have lower turnout." That, he says, explains the RQs of a number of the Democratic members on the bottom of the list, who represent heavily Hispanic districts in places like central California, Texas and Arizona.

Along with a district's demographics, partisan gerrymandering also skews raw vote totals. "The way that partisans are distributed these days," says Jacobson, "Democrats tend to be concentrated in urban areas where their candidates win overwhelmingly. Republicans are distributed more efficiently, and they tend to win by narrower margins."

Jacobson's reference to efficiency isn't about making sure the most voters get represented well--it's about how well partisan mapmakers carve up the voters to maximize their electoral value. Explains Thomas Patterson of Harvard's Kennedy School, author of the book The Vanishing Voter: "Republicans controlled more of the states during the latest round of redistricting, which means that they had the chance to draw more of the district boundaries….The game in redistricting is to create safe seats for your party but without wasting votes in the process. Thus, for example, you might aim for a 60-40 district. When it comes to the other party's candidates (usually incumbents), the goal is to waste their votes. Thus, if you're a Republican legislature, you will identify the Democratic candidates who are likely to win and load up their districts with as many Democrats as possible, thus reducing Democratic chances elsewhere in the state."

Variations in House district turnouts may also be explained by two additional factors, says Sarah Binder, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who focuses on Congress. Since it's harder to turn out a rural voter than an urban voter, in pure organizational cost terms, higher turnout are more likely in compact districts. And northern tier states like Oregon, Wisconsin and Minnesota that have a history of greater civic participation, strong campaign finance laws and reduced barriers to voter registration also tend to produce higher absolute votes in House races.

The chart below ranks House Democrats and Republicans by their actual vote totals (names with an asterisk are incumbents who were re-elected).

Powered by Socrata

News Briefs

RSS Feed today >

Anthony Weiner Launches NYC Mayoral Campaign Online With An Image of Pittsburgh

Former Congressman Anthony Weiner waxed lyrical about New York City in a YouTube video as he launched his bid to be the city's next mayor on Wednesday, but he did it against a backdrop that turned out to be the skyline for Pittsburgh, as a sharp-eyed observer on Twitter first noted Wednesday afternoon. GO

Revamped Data.gov Includes API Catalog

Federal officials are now offering a list of all APIs that have been released across the federal government as part of the Digital Government Strategy and a new data catalog that allows users to more easily search, sort and tag datasets, according to a post by Hyon Kim, deputy program director at the U.S. General Services Administration. With the announcements, the team behind Data.gov, a central public repository of machine-readable federal government data, is marking its fourth anniversary and the one year anniversary of the release of the Digital Government Strategy. GO

French Authorities Want to Tap (and Tax) Skype Calls

In spite of repeated requests from the French telecommunications authorities ARCEP, Skype has refused to classify itself as an electronic communications operator in France, which would require them to route emergency calls and allow the French police to intercept conversations. ARCEP has informed the Paris public prosecutor of Skype's refusal, and criminal charges might be brought against the company for failing to comply. This is yet another instance in recent months of France making things difficult for tech companies. Some worry that the overzealous government is discouraging technological progress in France, hindering business and economic growth.

GO

New Online Platform for Crowdsourced Videos About Human Rights Issues

Anyone with a phone and an Internet connection can be a citizen journalist, as was made clear in the hours and days after the Boston Marathon Bombings. Citizen journalism has its pros and cons, but it has popped up where most needed: after natural disasters or in war torn regions where career journalists might be barred. A new human rights initiative seeks to link citizen reporting in the form of online videos with mainstream media, governments and other policy makers. The online platform, called Irrepressible Voices, will both document human rights issues and work on solutions as a community.

GO

wednesday >

Facebook Becomes Full Member of Global Network Initiative

Facebook announced today that it has opted to become a full member of the Global Network Initiative, a group founded by Google, Microsoft and Yahoo to address the challenges technology companies face when dealing with governments about issues like freedom of expression and data privacy. GO

Russia's OGP Concerns Show That Transparency Matters

Last week, Russian officials announced they have withdrawn their letter of intent to join the Open Government Partnership. The Moscow Times has a statement to the Russian paper Kommersant from a presidential spokesman, saying, "We are not talking about winding up plans to join, but corrections in timing and the scale of participation are possible." So Russia may still be in. Just not soon. And maybe never. Confused? You're not alone. I actually find it fascinating that the Kremlin acts like "openness" and transparency matter. Here's why. GO

In Denmark, Online Tracking of Citizens is an Unwieldy Failure

Six years after Denmark passed a law mandating that telecommunication companies retain and store their customers' personal data for up to two years, local advocacy groups and the telecom industry are pushing for immediate changes to the legislation. The practice of keeping records of private citizens' Internet use is an unjustifiable invasion of privacy, they say. The police, meanwhile, have concluded that requiring telecoms to store subscriber data has not helped them track criminals, which was the the ostensible purpose of the practice. But the Danish government still wants to postpone an evaluation of the law for another two years. GO

"Accidental" Blocking of Australian Websites Raises Concerns About Government Censorship

An Australian government agency admitted last week to unintentionally blocking more than 1,200 perfectly legal websites in the process of shutting down one allegedly fraudulent site. In their defense, they pointed out that they have successfully blocked a number of websites in the past nine months without such digital collateral. This assertion came as no consolation to Australian netizens concerned about Internet censorship, especially opaque and hazily legal censorship.

GO

tuesday >

Honda Campaign Rolls Out Endorsements From Asian American Stars

Rep. Mike Honda (D-Calif.) rolled out several additional endorsements from Asian American leaders and celebrities Tuesday, with one of them vouching for his high-tech bona fides. GO

Here Are The People President Obama Hopes Will Repair American Elections

The Presidential Commission on Election Administration established by President Obama after problematic 2012 elections now has a web presence at SupporttheVoter.gov. Obama established the commission by executive order on March 28 "to identify best practices in election administration and to make recommendations to improve the voting experience." GO

After Oklahoma Disaster, Neighbors Look Online for Ways To Help

In echoes of the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy in the Northeast, social media sites and small business websites in and around tornado-wracked Moore, Okla., are full of offers of help, questions about missing pets and loved ones, and evidence that neighbors are willing to reach out to help one another in a disaster. On a single Facebook group, there's a Mexican restaurant in Oklahoma City promising free meals to first responders or people hit by the tornado; a mother a few hours' drive from Moore offering to open her door for children who might need a place to stay; a resident sharing a picture of a found dog and contact information for the owner to get in touch. GO

Change.org Lands $15 Million From Omidyar

Change.org capped an extraordinary few years of growth Tuesday with the announcement that it has landed a $15 million investment led by the Omidyar Network. GO

What German Politicians Think of Google Glass

The German government led by Chancellor Angela Merkel has not had the easiest relationship with Google. The company launched a public campaign against a law backed by her coalition that would require search engines to pay to show news articles in search results, with mixed results. What's more, Google has long had to navigate the privacy waters in Germany and throughout the European Union. But that has not stopped her federal minister for economics and technology, Philipp Rösler, from giving Google Glass an enthusiastic test run as he leads a delegation of German technology companies and politicians on a trip to Silicon Valley this week as part of German Valley Week. GO

Crowdsourcing Waste Management Solutions in Montenegro

For once we aren't talking about the worldwide scarcity of toilets, just good old-fashioned household waste. Montenegro has a garbage problem so bad even the tourists are complaining about it. A new mobile app sponsored by the Agency for Environmental Protection, NGO Ozon and United Nations Development Programme in Montenegro will hopefully get citizens involved in reporting illegal garbage dumps. GO

monday >

Her Majesty's Government Wants to Monetize Open Data

A new paper from the chair of the U.K. government's Open Strategy Board outlines the best practices for the government's open data policies. The government-commissioned Shakespeare Review – after author Stephan Shakespeare – looks into ways to monetize open data, and recommends an all-encompassing National Data Strategy.

GO

Will Silicon Valley "Disrupt" Politics With a Candidate for Congress?

Sean Parker, of Napster fame and now executive general partner at venture capital firm Founders Fund, has invested in political startups before. But last week, he went a step further — co-hosting a fundraising event for a candidate for Congress. Parker and SV Angel co-founder Ron Conway organized a crowd of Internet industry luminaries to support Ro Khanna, a former assistant deputy secretary in Barack Obama's Commerce Department. Khanna is preparing a challenge to Rep. Mike Honda (D-Calif.), whose newly redrawn congressional district encompasses Silicon Valley. GO

Burma's Upcoming Telecom Revolution Will Probably Not Bring Internet Freedom

Burma (Myanmar) is on the threshold of an Internet revolution, but Human Rights Watch has warned companies to proceed with caution or risk trampling Burmese citizens' rights. GO

friday >

Chilean Anti-Corruption Resource: A Crowdsourced Database of Social and Political Connections

In countries where a small minority of social circles have a majority of the political and economic power, personal relationships can affect major decision-making, a serious concern of anti-corruption activists. A new web platform stores personal profiles of key players in Chilean business and politics, complete with biographies and personal and professional connections through family, education, social circles, employers and coworkers, to make tracking social relationships and conflict-of-interest easier. Called Poderopedia (from the Spanish word for power), the project sounds kind of like LinkedIn, but the creation and management of profiles is being crowdsourced out to journalists, activists and concerned citizens.

GO

Middle Eastern Telecom Accused of Working With Saudi Arabia to Spy on Citizens

Mobily, an arm of the state-owned Middle Eastern telecom giant Etihad Etisalat, has been accused of working with Saudi Arabia to develop software that would allow the government to bypass protections for social media users. The exposé comes from Moxie Marlinspike (neé Matthew Rosenfield), an expert in a certain type of malicious Internet attack called MITM (man-in-the-middle), whereby attackers intercept and secretly alter private messages exchanged via email and other social media platforms. GO

Saudi Religious Leader Warns Twitter Users of Consequences in the Afterlife

In late March, Saudi Arabia's top religious cleric said Twitter was for clowns and corrupters. Earlier this week, he said anyone using social media, in particular Twitter, “has lost this world and the afterlife.” His comments might be laughable, if they did not come at a time when the Saudi government is looking into monitoring or blocking social media sites and eliminating user anonymity.

GO

More