The Revolution Will NOT Be Twittered

"Mock not," pleaded blogger Andrew Sullivan as he posted an instaclassic of hyperbole, "The Revolution Will Be Twittered" in praise of Iranian supporters of Mir Hussein Moussavi who took the streets and - in some cases - used the short-form blogging services to post about the scene in Tehran.

Mock on, says I.

There is something like digital catnip on the breakfast bar for western politicogeeks in the story of Iran's disputed election and the ensuing power struggle roiling the Middle East's largest theocracy. Anything that suggests that some of the tools and tricks adopted among the wired, iPhone-wielding politically active classes in the United States may be used to - dramatic pause - start a revolution in one of the world's most dangerous countries carries the potency of a synthetic narcotic injected into the great XML vein of the Internet...

Clearly, Andrew Sullivan mainlined some o' that Twitter smack:

That a new information technology could be improvised for this purpose
so swiftly is a sign of the times. It reveals in Iran what the Obama
campaign revealed in the United States. You cannot stop people any
longer. You cannot control them any longer. They can bypass your
established media; they can broadcast to one another; they can organize
as never before.

We need to calm down. Twitter is a fascinating startup that has spawned a passionate core community of users, many of them activists for social causes, politicians or technology sector types. Together with a host of other digital tools and platforms, Twitter can be an awesome, viral information-spreader of a tool, and it can raise support for causes and empower activism. Indeed, I'm a big believer in the growth and power of online social activism in general - and my 2008 book CauseWired: Plugging In, Getting Involved, Changing the World (Wiley) is in its third printing.

But I think there are limits, especially when men and women are marching in streets patrolled by the troops of an absolutist religious dictatorship, facing soldiers' guns in public and the noose behind the prison wall. Sure, Twitter (and Facebook and text messaging and blog and YouTube) can be effective information outlets for revolutionaries, but it's utterly facile to suggest that information technology is driving the currents of unrest in Iran. I can understand the impulse, though; after all, we (the digerati, the plugged in, the Twitterverse) are watching it unfold online. And, you know, wherever we are, well, that's where the action is.

But I prefer the more finely-modulated - but no less fascinated - view of TechPresident blogger Nancy Scola to the current outbreak of triumphalism:

We've seen street protests in Tehran, violence there, and a veritable tsunami of information online detailing the facts, figures, and passions surrounding an election that taps into the very heart of how Iranians view the future of their republic. As we saw in Moldova, the idea of a "Twitter Revolution" isn't always borne out by the facts, at least to the extent that the uprising would have not taken place without the tool. At this historic moment in time, it's fascinating to
watch -- and participate in -- how a political conflict can evolve online, how those outside the immediate sphere of its influence have a role in the chain of events, and all that interest and passion can feed back into the cycle of how events play out.

Then too, we're all too quick to align the Iranian "reformers" with a westernized liberal ideal of free elections, free speech, and tolerance. Like in the "Twitter revolution" in Moldova, it becomes cartoonishly easy to choose sides based on Tweets. Further, Iran is an old and complex society that simply doesn't fit our Democrat vs. Republican mindset. It's easy to forget, I guess, that Moussavi isn't exactly an American constitutional scholar like Barack Obama. This is a man who shut down the university system in Iran on the orders of Khomeini, and a former prime minister who managed his country's disastrous war with Iraq and has refused to answer questions about his role in the 1988 massacres of political prisoners.

Sure we instinctively want regime change and a liberalized, more open Iran. And Americans naturally side with the pro-business reformers Moussavi and Rafsanjani, who want to open up the country's markets to outside investments. Iran is also a country governed by a religious council, where several factions are fighting for control of the theocratic system that emerged from the original revolution. And while women's rights and the desire of young people to live in a more progressive society are undoubtedly driving the ongoing struggle, we can't forget that reformist challengers were Khomeini revolutionaries. Yet we insist on viewing the Iranian street through the lens of last year's presidential election - like it's a bunch of college kids taking time off to walk the precincts in the Iowa caucuses. And if the election was indeed stolen (as seems likely) can't we just organize our way to a better result?

Somehow, a key factor for folks like Andrew Sullivan seems to be "how does this square with my image of Obama, and what we accomplished last year together, and therefore my own self-image?" How else to explain this:

The key force behind this is the next generation, the Millennials, who
elected Obama in America and may oust Ahmadinejad in Iran. They want
freedom; they are sick of lies; they enjoy life and know hope.

So simple, isn't it? Fits in 140 characters. Yet it's too simple by far. As turmoil and violence continue in Iran, it's just too damned easy to be intoxicated by the Twitter stream. It trivializes taking to the streets against your country's ruling regime. As one Tweet put it so eloquently this afternoon:

"Seriously, everyone should check out #iranelection throughout the day. Big question is, what can we do?"

So far, just hit the refresh button.

[Cross-posted from My Dirty Life & Times]

Comments

I'm noticing a pattern here

Of course it's simplistic to say that information technology is driving the protests in Iraq. That said, it's certainly had a major influence. Twitter's already had an impact on mainstream media coverage in the US, and has been a steady stream of first-person accounts as well as information about proxy servers and Tor. Thus far it's proven surprisingly resilient to censorship. The pace and incredibly viral nature of Twitter's environment today, even over dialup, does change the dynamics -- especially when it's combined with YouTube, flickr, Facebook, and blogs.

As for what you can do, what i consistently here is that we can all help get the word out, let the protesters know that people all over the world stand in solidarity with them, and provide information and technology assistance to people who need it (for example forwarding around proxy server and Tor info). Those of us who are free to speak up without having to worry about being beaten or shot have a responsibility to do what we can to help.

And about that pattern: once again a techPresident writer mocks pro-democracy protesters as they're getting beaten in the streets -- without even bothering to quote their perspectives. What's with that?

jon

jon -- http://talesfromthe.net/jon

You're reading into it too much.

It's really far simpler than you are wanting to think it is. The reason Twitter works in this situation, and the reason why it will be found to have a major impact on it (good or bad? Who knows?) is because of a few basic concepts. Firstly, people act differently when they know or even just think they're being watched. Even a regime that you think might not care about what people think -- most evil acts are dismissed because of deniability. So many people from so many parts of Iran corroborating each other and being seen/heard by others in their own and neighboring nations *will* affect how the actions by both sides of these event are perceived. Under the magnifying glass, the Iranian regime will either be afraid to act, or will be forced to act far more overtly than they were planning.

This is a strength in numbers thing. Sure, 99.9% of the people posting with Twitter are having next to zero individual impact on events. This is like the guy in the middle of the crowd: nobody can hear what he's saying, he isn't fighting the riot police, and he really doesn't move much at all. But it's the fact that he, and all the other guys in the middle of the crowd, are there that the crowd exists at all. So his mere participation, as minor as it may seem, is far larger than you give him credit for. Posting on Twitter is similar to this.

On the outside of Iran, it's not our job or right to get directly involved, so it's unreasonable to expect us to have any net effect. But we can offer what little support we can, our words and our eyes, to the people who really are there right in the middle of the crowd, fighting for their freedom.

Check your context ...

The original tweets coming from Iran were The revolution will not be televised - But it will be Twittered, this was in relation to the traditional media were covering the protests. It was this same coverage that generated #CNNfail.

With respect to the revolution being better covered from social media than the traditional media, I would suggest that the quote is spot on!

cheers :)

Who's mocking protesters?

A totally unfair charge, Jon.

I wish 'em nothing but the best. Their leader, however? He's a villain. So I distrust the movement because of its leader. Nothing wrong with that. I think caution on this situation is the right way to go - I think the President's got it right.

It is indeed fascinating to watch some of the social media tools used to route around the incumbent government, spread the message of the insurgency, and influence western reaction to it. No one could argue with that!

No Limit Twitterer

Limits to Twitter? Are you kidding? Yeah there are limits, but come on, it's Twitter, and it should not be underestimated for the power social networking and media site that it is.

http://www.adwido.com

Reread your first two paragraphs ...

Tom,

Maybe it wasn't your intent, but your "Mock on" in the second paragraph certainly seems to refer to the people that Andrew Sullivan is praising -- i.e., the Moussavi supporters who are Twittering.

jon

jon -- http://talesfromthe.net/jon

Iran

Let's put our heads together. how do the Iranian activists/moderates avoid a Tiananmen Sq. result? Like Friedman wrote "Bang Bang trumps Tweet Tweet."